matakite /ˈmatakite/ A Māori word for a seer — one who perceives what is to come.

binary forecast

Will Jonas Vingegaard win Stage 14 or Stage 15 of the 2026 Tour de France?

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by @matakite.app Closes Resolves

#sports#cycling#tour-de-france#jonas-vingegaard

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Appears once at least 3 people have forecast independently (0/3).

Resolution criteria

Resolves Yes if Jonas Vingegaard is ranked first in the official stage classification for Stage 14 or Stage 15 of the 2026 Tour de France. Otherwise, resolves No.

Background

After Stage 10 on 14 July, Jonas Vingegaard is second in the general classification, 3 minutes 36 seconds behind Tadej Pogačar. Stage 14 from Mulhouse to Le Markstein Fellering has 3,800 metres of climbing, followed by Stage 15 to Plateau de Solaison with 3,950 metres of climbing. The longer mountain efforts should give Vingegaard an opportunity to challenge Pogačar and pursue his first individual stage victory of this Tour.

Fine print

Winning either stage is sufficient. The Stage 1 team time-trial victory does not count. If Vingegaard withdraws or is disqualified without winning either specified stage, resolves No. If one stage is cancelled, the other stage still determines the outcome. If both stages end without an official stage classification, resolves Annulled.

Revision history
  1. live verified bafyreietwe24j…

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