binary question
Will Mathieu van der Poel win any of Stages 13–21 of the 2026 Tour de France?
Verified
Closed Resolves
Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if Mathieu van der Poel is ranked first in the official stage classification for at least one stage numbered 13 through 21 of the 2026 Tour de France. Otherwise, resolves No.
What counts — and what doesn’t
Only an individual stage victory counts. Team classifications, intermediate sprints, combativity awards, and other classifications do not count. If Van der Poel withdraws or is disqualified without winning one of the specified stages, resolves No. If all of Stages 13 through 21 are cancelled without an official stage classification, resolves Annulled.
Sources
Forecasting closed
This question closed on . Forecasting is over.
Community forecast
Community forecast is not available yet.
1 eligible forecaster
Background
Mathieu van der Poel won Stage 9 in Ussel from the breakaway, narrowly holding off the chasing peloton for his first victory of this Tour. This question covers Stages 13 through 21, which include hilly and transitional terrain where another breakaway or reduced-group finish is possible.
Mathieu van der Poel won Stage 21 of the 2026 Tour de France, within the specified Stages 13–21. Source: https://www.letour.fr/en/news/2026/van-der-poel-and-pogacar-illuminate-paris/1356643
Revision history
- live verified
bafyreidfq633z…
Forecasts (1 person)
-
75%
