numeric forecast

How many users will Bluesky report having at the end of 2026?

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by @matakite.app Closes Resolves

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Appears once at least 3 people have forecast independently (1/3).

Resolution criteria

Resolves to the total number of users Bluesky officially reports having at the end of 2026. The figure includes users hosted on Bluesky’s infrastructure and users hosted on federated AT Protocol Personal Data Servers, consistent with the scope used in Bluesky’s 2025 Transparency Report. The result is expressed in millions. If Bluesky publishes only a rounded figure, the question resolves to the precision used in the official publication. If multiple official figures are published, the figure most explicitly associated with the end of 2026 is used. https://bsky.social/about/blog

Background

https://bsky.social/about/blog/01-29-2026-transparency-report-2025

Revision history
  1. live verified bafyreiahuba54…

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Forecasts (1 person)

  • @piotr.id

    60 millions of users