matakite /ˈmatakite/ A Māori word for a seer — one who perceives what is to come.

binary forecast

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour de France?

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by @matakite.app Closes Resolves

#sports#cycling#tour-de-france#tadej-pogacar#jonas-vingegaard

Community forecast

Appears once at least 3 people have forecast independently (1/3).

Resolution criteria

Resolves Yes if Tadej Pogačar is ranked first in the official final general classification of the 2026 Tour de France after Stage 21. Otherwise, resolves No.

Background

After Stage 10 on 14 July, Tadej Pogačar leads the general classification by 3 minutes 36 seconds over Jonas Vingegaard. Remco Evenepoel is third, 4 minutes 6 seconds behind Pogačar and 30 seconds behind Vingegaard. Eleven stages remain, including the Stage 16 individual time trial and the decisive Alpine mountain stages.

Fine print

If the Tour ends early but its organisers declare an official final general classification, that classification will be used. If the Tour ends without an official final general classification, resolves Annulled. A withdrawal, disqualification, or failure to finish by Pogačar resolves No if another rider is ranked first. Changes made after the resolution record is published do not alter the outcome.

Revision history
  1. live verified bafyreielnagsi…

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