binary question
Will Jonas Vingegaard win Stage 14 or Stage 15 of the 2026 Tour de France?
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Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if Jonas Vingegaard is ranked first in the official stage classification for Stage 14 or Stage 15 of the 2026 Tour de France. Otherwise, resolves No.
What counts — and what doesn’t
Winning either stage is sufficient. The Stage 1 team time-trial victory does not count. If Vingegaard withdraws or is disqualified without winning either specified stage, resolves No. If one stage is cancelled, the other stage still determines the outcome. If both stages end without an official stage classification, resolves Annulled.
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Background
After Stage 10 on 14 July, Jonas Vingegaard is second in the general classification, 3 minutes 36 seconds behind Tadej Pogačar. Stage 14 from Mulhouse to Le Markstein Fellering has 3,800 metres of climbing, followed by Stage 15 to Plateau de Solaison with 3,950 metres of climbing. The longer mountain efforts should give Vingegaard an opportunity to challenge Pogačar and pursue his first individual stage victory of this Tour.
Jonas Vingegaard won neither specified stage. Tadej Pogačar won Stage 14 on 18 July 2026; Remco Evenepoel won Stage 15 on 19 July 2026. Official sources: https://www.letour.fr/en/news/2026/pogacar-right-on-the-mark-stein/1348386 and https://www.letour.fr/en/news/2026/stage-15/history-for-evenepoel-tragedy-for-vingegaard/1349694
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